Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

Follow the Fantastic 50 on Twitter/X for the latest updates.

Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#59 Austintown-Fitch Falcons (9-4) 150.8

Updated Sat 16-Nov-2024 12:41 AM
Week 13 complete

Region 5 home page
Region 5 projections
Region 5 playoff probabilities
Region 5 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 5 page
Eitel team page
Team history page

Rankings
#14 of 104 in Division 2
#5 of 28 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #24 in D2 (based on all regular season games)
Resume ranking #14 in D2 (+179 WP+)
Made Region 5 playoffs as #4 seed

Schedule and results
08/23 (week 1) W 49-12 H #398 Euclid (2-8) D2 R5, pick: W by 36 (95%), perf. rating 149
08/30 (week 2) W 27-17 A #66 Jackson (Massillon) (8-4) D1 R1, pick: W by 15 (77%), perf. rating 166
09/06 (week 3) W 35-0 H #208 GlenOak (1-9) D1 R1, pick: W by 26 (93%), perf. rating 170
09/13 (week 4) W 17-3 A #161 Riverside (Painesville) (4-7) D2 R5, pick: W by 5 (62%), perf. rating 152
09/21 (week 5) W 44-7 A #249 Buchtel (4-7) D4 R13, pick: W by 23 (92%), perf. rating 171
09/27 (week 6) L 35-0 A #9 Ursuline (12-1) D3 R9, pick: L by 11 (24%), perf. rating 129
10/04 (week 7) W 20-15 H #121 Perry (Massillon) (6-6) D2 R7, pick: W by 25 (95%), perf. rating 141
10/11 (week 8) L 38-35 A McDowell PA (6-4) D1 (est. opp. rating 158)
10/18 (week 9) W 45-28 H #151 Boardman (6-5) D2 R5, pick: W by 17 (87%), perf. rating 154
10/25 (week 10) L 35-21 H #91 Warren G Harding (8-4) D2 R5, pick: W by 12 (79%), perf. rating 120

OHSAA regional playoffs
11/01 (week 11) W 31-7 H #215 Mayfield (5-6) D2 R5, pick: W by 26 (96%), perf. rating 153
11/08 (week 12) W 42-21 H #91 Warren G Harding (8-4) D2 R5, pick: W by 3 (57%), perf. rating 172
11/15 (week 13) L 42-28 N #13 Walsh Jesuit (13-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 25 (5%), perf. rating 156

Weekly summary info
Week 13 (9-4, 150.8, #59, D2 #14)
Week 12 (9-3, 150.5, #60, D2 #15)
Week 11 (8-3, 146.9, #75, D2 #17)
Week 10 (7-3, 147.6, #67, D2 #14)
Week 9 (7-2, 151.8, #57, D2 #13), appears locked in and home, 88% twice (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 8 (6-2, 149.5, #66, D2 #16), appears locked in, 98% home (maybe if 6-4), 70% twice (likely needs 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 7 (6-1, 151.4, #57, D2 #14), appears locked in and likely home, 65% twice (likely needs 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 6 (5-1, 155.6, #46, D2 #11), appears locked in and likely home, 83% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 5 (5-0, 163.0, #26, D2 #8), appears locked in and likely home, 91% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 159.8, #36, D2 #9), appears locked in, 98% home, 80% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 157.2, #38, D2 #8), likely in, 84% home (maybe if 6-4), 53% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 152.0, #56, D2 #10), 96% (bubble if 3-7), 71% home (maybe if 6-4), 36% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 1 (1-0, 152.4, #51, D2 #11), 93% (bubble if 4-6), 69% home (maybe if 6-4), 37% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 150.8, #54, D2 #15), 93% (bubble if 3-7), 63% home (maybe if 7-3), 31% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Last season 146.7