Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

Follow the Fantastic 50 on Twitter/X for the latest updates.

Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#292 Bay Rockets (7-5) 107.8

Updated Sat 16-Nov-2024 12:41 AM
Week 13 complete

Region 14 home page
Region 14 projections
Region 14 playoff probabilities
Region 14 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 14 page
Eitel team page
Team history page

Rankings
#45 of 106 in Division 4
#15 of 26 in Region 14
Strength of schedule #53 in D4 (based on all regular season games)
Resume ranking #48 in D4 (-145 WP+)
Made Region 14 playoffs as #5 seed

Schedule and results
08/23 (week 1) W 33-0 H #530 Cleveland Central Cath. (2-7) D3 R10, pick: W by 32 (93%), perf. rating 121
08/30 (week 2) L 24-17 A #309 Field (9-3) D4 R13, pick: W by 10 (69%), perf. rating 97
09/06 (week 3) W 17-7 H #339 University School (4-6) D3 R9, pick: L by 10 (28%), perf. rating 115
09/13 (week 4) L 20-14 H #442 Normandy (3-8) D1 R1, pick: W by 25 (93%), perf. rating 81
09/20 (week 5) L 31-0 A #111 Buckeye (10-2) D3 R10, pick: L by 16 (16%), perf. rating 94
09/27 (week 6) W 28-14 H #450 Westlake (2-8) D2 R6, pick: W by 8 (69%), perf. rating 109
10/04 (week 7) W 12-6 A #311 Valley Forge (4-6) D2 R6, pick: L by 9 (28%), perf. rating 117
10/10 (week 8) L 14-10 A #232 North Olmsted (5-6) D2 R6, pick: L by 11 (23%), perf. rating 112
10/18 (week 9) W 22-20 H #411 Lakewood (4-6) D2 R6, pick: W by 14 (82%), perf. rating 95
10/25 (week 10) W 35-21 A #277 Rocky River (8-4) D3 R10, pick: L by 13 (20%), perf. rating 133

OHSAA regional playoffs
11/01 (week 11) W 41-14 H #435 Cloverleaf (5-6) D4 R14, pick: W by 16 (85%), perf. rating 130
11/08 (week 12) L 28-0 H #168 Napoleon (7-6) D4 R14, pick: L by 8 (30%), perf. rating 84

Weekly summary info
Week 13 (7-5, 107.8, #292, D4 #45)
Week 12 (7-5, 107.7, #294, D4 #45)
Week 11 (7-4, 112.4, #260, D4 #40)
Week 10 (6-4, 109.1, #294, D4 #48)
Week 9 (5-4, 105.5, #314, D4 #50), appears locked in, 28% home (likely needs 6-4), 14% twice (maybe if 6-4), proj. #10 at 5-5
Week 8 (4-4, 106.6, #301, D4 #48), appears locked in, 33% home (maybe if 5-5), 5% twice (maybe if 6-4), proj. #9 at 5-5
Week 7 (4-3, 105.6, #307, D4 #49), appears locked in, 38% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. #8 at 5-5
Week 6 (3-3, 102.7, #338, D4 #56), 92% (bubble if 3-7), 7% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. #13 at 4-6
Week 5 (2-3, 101.0, #350, D4 #59), 91% (bubble if 2-8), 8% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. #10 at 4-6
Week 4 (2-2, 107.6, #298, D4 #51), 96% (bubble if 2-8), 40% home (maybe if 5-5), 5% twice (maybe if 7-3), proj. #9 at 5-5
Week 3 (2-1, 115.2, #252, D4 #38), likely in, 65% home (maybe if 6-4), 27% twice (likely needs 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 2 (1-1, 109.4, #288, D4 #46), 91% (bubble if 3-7), 47% home (maybe if 6-4), 15% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 117.7, #232, D4 #36), 93% (bubble if 3-7), 64% home (maybe if 6-4), 36% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 115.8, #242, D4 #39), 89% (bubble if 3-7), 59% home (maybe if 6-4), 34% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 7-3
Last season 120.7