Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

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Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#543 Hardin Northern Polar Bears (6-5) 71.7

Updated Tue 10-Dec-2024 10:06 AM
Week 16 complete

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Rankings
#45 of 104 in Division 7
#15 of 25 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #76 in D7 (based on all regular season games)
Resume ranking #54 in D7 (-237 WP+)
Made Region 26 playoffs as #10 seed

Schedule and results
08/23 (week 1) L 53-33 A #430 Arlington (5-6) D7 R26, pick: L by 30 (8%), perf. rating 65
08/30 (week 2) W 30-13 A #633 North Baltimore (4-7) D7 R26, pick: W by 26 (90%), perf. rating 78
09/06 (week 3) W 29-0 H #671 Cory-Rawson (1-9) D7 R26, pick: W by 31 (96%), perf. rating 80
09/13 (week 4) W 21-20 A #516 Waynesfield-Goshen (7-4) D7 R28, pick: L by 18 (14%), perf. rating 81
09/20 (week 5) W 38-15 H #613 Perry (Lima) (5-6) D6 R24, pick: W by 22 (92%), perf. rating 89
09/27 (week 6) W 42-0 A #663 Ridgedale (2-8) D7 R27, pick: W by 24 (94%), perf. rating 108
10/04 (week 7) L 14-7 H #526 Ridgemont (8-3) D7 R28, pick: W by 8 (70%), perf. rating 63
10/11 (week 8) W 52-14 H #677 Crestline (5-6) D7 R25, pick: W by 34 (99%), perf. rating 89
10/18 (week 9) L 38-10 H #393 Upper Scioto Valley (9-2) D7 R26, pick: L by 14 (18%), perf. rating 53
10/25 (week 10) L 32-28 A #568 Elgin (5-6) D6 R23, pick: W by 7 (68%), perf. rating 63

OHSAA regional playoffs
11/01 (week 11) L 55-25 A #391 Calvert (7-5) D7 R26, pick: L by 28 (3%), perf. rating 54

Weekly summary info
Week 16 (6-5, 71.7, #543, D7 #45)
Week 15 (6-5, 71.7, #544, D7 #46)
Week 14 (6-5, 71.7, #543, D7 #45)
Week 13 (6-5, 71.7, #545, D7 #46)
Week 12 (6-5, 71.5, #545, D7 #46)
Week 11 (6-5, 71.8, #542, D7 #45)
Week 10 (6-4, 72.7, #540, D7 #44)
Week 9 (6-3, 73.9, #531, D7 #43), appears locked in, 48% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #8 at 7-3
Week 8 (6-2, 77.5, #521, D7 #40), appears locked in, 72% home (maybe if 7-3), 15% twice (likely needs 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 7 (5-2, 76.3, #525, D7 #44), appears locked in, 46% home (maybe if 7-3), 11% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 6 (5-1, 79.4, #508, D7 #41), appears locked in, 94% home (maybe if 7-3), 45% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 5 (4-1, 75.7, #525, D7 #43), appears locked in, 84% home (maybe if 7-3), 45% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 4 (3-1, 72.0, #540, D7 #47), appears locked in, 68% home (maybe if 7-3), 33% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 3 (2-1, 66.1, #583, D7 #52), likely in, 32% home (maybe if 7-3), 9% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 67.3, #574, D7 #50), likely in, 60% home (maybe if 6-4), 14% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 1 (0-1, 69.9, #562, D7 #52), 97% (likely in at 4-6 or better), 67% home (maybe if 6-4), 20% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 68.4, #575, D7 #53), 93% (bubble if 4-6), 32% home (maybe if 7-3), 8% twice (maybe if 9-1), proj. #11 at 7-3
Last season 68.6