Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

Follow the Fantastic 50 on Twitter/X for the latest updates.

Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#256 Jonathan Alder Pioneers (5-6) 112.5

Updated Sat 16-Nov-2024 12:41 AM
Week 13 complete

Region 15 home page
Region 15 projections
Region 15 playoff probabilities
Region 15 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 15 page
Eitel team page
Team history page

Rankings
#38 of 106 in Division 4
#6 of 26 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #39 in D4 (based on all regular season games)
Resume ranking #51 in D4 (-148 WP+)
Made Region 15 playoffs as #9 seed

Schedule and results
08/23 (week 1) W 35-21 H #331 Fairbanks (7-4) D6 R23, pick: W by 36 (95%), perf. rating 122
08/30 (week 2) L 27-9 A #229 Columbus Academy (10-2) D5 R19, pick: W by 7 (64%), perf. rating 92
09/06 (week 3) L 31-21 A #142 Bloom-Carroll (9-3) D3 R11, pick: L by 16 (19%), perf. rating 119
09/13 (week 4) W 35-0 H #520 North Union (2-8) D5 R20, pick: W by 28 (95%), perf. rating 127
09/20 (week 5) W 34-0 A #487 Benjamin Logan (3-7) D4 R14, pick: W by 28 (96%), perf. rating 137
09/27 (week 6) W 21-7 A #288 Urbana (7-4) D4 R16, pick: L by 11 (24%), perf. rating 131
10/04 (week 7) L 49-0 H #33 London (13-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 27 (4%), perf. rating 95
10/11 (week 8) L 28-27 H #354 Kenton Ridge (7-4) D4 R16, pick: W by 19 (89%), perf. rating 97
10/18 (week 9) L 49-7 A #122 Bellefontaine (8-3) D3 R12, pick: L by 21 (8%), perf. rating 75
10/25 (week 10) W 41-8 H #591 Tecumseh (0-10) D3 R12, pick: W by 38 (99%), perf. rating 109

OHSAA regional playoffs
11/01 (week 11) L 18-17 A #192 Bishop Ready (7-5) D4 R15, pick: L by 15 (16%), perf. rating 123

Weekly summary info
Week 13 (5-6, 112.5, #256, D4 #38)
Week 12 (5-6, 111.8, #264, D4 #40)
Week 11 (5-6, 112.0, #267, D4 #41)
Week 10 (5-5, 113.0, #257, D4 #40)
Week 9 (4-5, 113.3, #260, D4 #40), appears locked in, home game unlikely, proj. #11 at 5-5
Week 8 (4-4, 116.8, #232, D4 #33), appears locked in, 8% home (likely needs 6-4), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 7 (4-3, 121.7, #204, D4 #29), appears locked in, 80% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #8 at 6-4
Week 6 (4-2, 122.4, #199, D4 #28), likely in, 63% home (maybe if 6-4), 4% twice (likely needs 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Week 5 (3-2, 115.5, #244, D4 #36), 76% (bubble if 4-6), 8% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 4 (2-2, 113.2, #259, D4 #40), 83% (bubble if 4-6), 6% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 3 (1-2, 109.9, #286, D4 #47), 75% (bubble if 4-6), 5% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. #13 at 5-5
Week 2 (1-1, 107.4, #303, D4 #52), 55% (bubble if 4-6), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #15 at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 115.4, #245, D4 #40), 85% (bubble if 4-6), 18% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% twice (likely needs 9-1), proj. #12 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 123.4, #192, D4 #26), 77% (bubble if 5-5), 30% home (maybe if 7-3), 15% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #14 at 6-4
Last season 129.0