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Rankings
#3 of 106 in Division 5
#2 of 26 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #46 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #8 in D5 (+320 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 35-0 H #322 Ottawa-Glandorf (0-7) D4 R14, pick: W by 12 (71%), perf. rating 157
08/29 W 41-3 A #173 Columbus Grove (4-3) D7 R26, pick: W by 5 (60%), perf. rating 186
09/05 W 52-9 H #398 McComb (3-4) D7 R26, pick: W by 47 (99%), perf. rating 157
09/12 W 51-0 H #658 Riverdale (0-7) D6 R22, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 105
09/19 W 56-0 A #605 Elmwood (0-7) D6 R22, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 124
09/26 W 56-13 H #348 Arlington (5-2) D7 R26, pick: W by 36 (99%), perf. rating 162
10/03 W 42-9 A #272 Pandora-Gilboa (4-3) D7 R26, pick: W by 29 (97%), perf. rating 163
10/10 H #298 Leipsic (7-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 34 (99%)
10/17 A #625 Arcadia (2-5) D7 R26, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/24 A #372 Van Buren (4-3) D6 R22, pick: W by 37 (99%)
Regular season projections
10-0 record
20.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#4 seed in R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 72% bye (maybe if 10-0)
Depending on the next game
Win: 20.00 (16.15-21.95) 100% home, 73% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 73%
Based on eventual number of wins
(97%) 10W: 20.00 (18.50-21.95) 100% home, 74% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#7), bye 74%
( 3%) 9W: 17.35 (15.10-20.30) 100% in, 99% home, 23% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), bye 23%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(97%) WWW: 20.00 (18.50-21.95) 100% home, 74% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#7), bye 74%
( 1%) WLW: 18.90 (17.80-20.30) 100% home, 54% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#6), bye 54%
( 1%) WWL: 17.30 (16.50-18.85) 100% home, 13% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#8), Keystone (5-2) 21%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (7-0, 151.1, #54, D5 #3), appears locked in and likely home, 72% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #4 at 10-0
Week 6 (6-0, 148.5, #63, D5 #7), appears locked in and likely home, 42% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #4 at 10-0
Week 5 (5-0, 147.2, #74, D5 #5), appears locked in and likely home, 53% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #4 at 10-0
Week 4 (4-0, 149.8, #57, D5 #3), likely in and likely home, 25% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #4 at 10-0
Week 3 (3-0, 155.7, #42, D5 #3), appears locked in and likely home, 30% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #4 at 10-0
Week 2 (2-0, 158.4, #37, D5 #3), appears locked in and likely home, 37% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #5 at 10-0
Week 1 (1-0, 144.9, #78, D5 #5), 98% (bubble if 6-4), 84% home (maybe if 8-2), 21% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 133.3, #135, D5 #9), 91% (bubble if 5-5), 71% home (maybe if 7-3), 20% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Last season 133.6