Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

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Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#407 Madison (Middletown) Mohawks (4-7) 94.8

Updated Tue 10-Dec-2024 10:06 AM
Week 16 complete

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Region 20 playoff probabilities
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Rankings
#54 of 106 in Division 5
#13 of 24 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #25 in D5 (based on all regular season games)
Resume ranking #55 in D5 (-206 WP+)
Made Region 20 playoffs as #14 seed

Schedule and results
08/23 (week 1) L 52-0 A #236 Preble Shawnee (10-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 21 (17%), perf. rating 55
08/29 (week 2) W 57-0 A #690 Gamble Montessori (0-8) D4 R16, pick: W by 27 (91%), perf. rating 89
09/06 (week 3) W 38-14 H #531 Blanchester (4-6) D6 R24, pick: L by 3 (43%), perf. rating 108
09/13 (week 4) W 42-12 H #439 Meadowdale (7-4) D3 R12, pick: W by 14 (80%), perf. rating 135
09/20 (week 5) L 21-0 A #246 Brookville (7-5) D4 R16, pick: L by 12 (23%), perf. rating 85
09/28 (week 6) L 34-3 H #203 Eaton (8-3) D4 R16, pick: L by 20 (10%), perf. rating 72
10/04 (week 7) L 35-0 H #161 Valley View (9-3) D4 R16, pick: L by 33 (2%), perf. rating 74
10/11 (week 8) L 38-0 A #178 Waynesville (9-4) D5 R20, pick: L by 34 (1%), perf. rating 72
10/18 (week 9) L 38-35 A #363 Carlisle (5-6) D5 R20, pick: L by 19 (11%), perf. rating 97
10/25 (week 10) W 56-34 H #454 Oakwood (2-8) D4 R16, pick: L by 4 (40%), perf. rating 121

OHSAA regional playoffs
11/01 (week 11) L 42-9 A #178 Waynesville (9-4) D5 R20, pick: L by 29 (3%), perf. rating 79

Weekly summary info
Week 16 (4-7, 94.8, #407, D5 #54)
Week 15 (4-7, 94.7, #409, D5 #54)
Week 14 (4-7, 94.8, #407, D5 #53)
Week 13 (4-7, 94.7, #408, D5 #53)
Week 12 (4-7, 95.2, #404, D5 #51)
Week 11 (4-7, 96.3, #398, D5 #53)
Week 10 (4-6, 98.1, #382, D5 #50)
Week 9 (3-6, 92.2, #432, D5 #59), likely in, no home game, proj. #16 at 3-7
Week 8 (3-5, 90.4, #444, D5 #61), 97% (likely in at 3-7 or better), no home game, proj. #16 at 3-7
Week 7 (3-4, 92.6, #426, D5 #58), 98% (likely in at 3-7 or better), home game unlikely, proj. #15 at 3-7
Week 6 (3-3, 92.2, #428, D5 #57), 83% (bubble if 3-7), home game unlikely, proj. #15 at 3-7
Week 5 (3-2, 94.4, #409, D5 #52), 98% (likely in at 3-7 or better), 5% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. #12 at 4-6
Week 4 (3-1, 95.5, #402, D5 #51), 95% (bubble if 3-7), 9% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #13 at 4-6
Week 3 (2-1, 92.2, #424, D5 #60), 85% (likely needs 3-7), 8% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #13 at 4-6
Week 2 (1-1, 82.5, #492, D5 #73), 69% (bubble if 2-8), 7% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. #13 at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 73.7, #545, D5 #79), 54% (bubble if 2-8), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 84.3, #481, D5 #66), 67% (bubble if 2-8), 15% home (maybe if 5-5), 4% twice (maybe if 6-4), proj. #12 at 3-7
Last season 88.7