Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

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Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#309 Roger Bacon Spartans (6-5) 105.8

Updated Tue 10-Dec-2024 10:06 AM
Week 16 complete

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Region 16 projections
Region 16 playoff probabilities
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Team history page

Rankings
#47 of 106 in Division 4
#12 of 27 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #80 in D4 (based on all regular season games)
Resume ranking #57 in D4 (-210 WP+)
Made Region 16 playoffs as #16 seed

Schedule and results
08/23 (week 1) L 30-17 H #154 Indian Hill (9-4) D4 R16, pick: L by 16 (23%), perf. rating 109
08/30 (week 2) W 47-0 A #551 Western Hills (1-9) D1 R4, pick: W by 12 (73%), perf. rating 134
09/05 (week 3) L 20-14 A #395 Hughes (4-6) D3 R12, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 89
09/13 (week 4) L 27-6 H #68 Archbishop McNicholas (9-3) D3 R12, pick: L by 30 (4%), perf. rating 115
09/20 (week 5) W 28-20 A #392 New Richmond (5-6) D4 R16, pick: L by 2 (44%), perf. rating 110
09/27 (week 6) W 41-0 H #582 North College Hill (3-6) D5 R20, pick: W by 40 (99%), perf. rating 123
10/04 (week 7) W 42-2 A #622 Summit Country Day (2-7) D6 R24, pick: W by 44 (99%), perf. rating 116
10/11 (week 8) L 35-14 H #237 Cinc. Hills Christian (9-2) D4 R16, pick: L by 2 (45%), perf. rating 82
10/18 (week 9) W 29-8 H #417 Purcell Marian (5-6) D6 R24, pick: W by 9 (72%), perf. rating 123
10/25 (week 10) W 69-6 A #679 Norwood (0-10) D5 R20, pick: W by 48 (99%), perf. rating 97

OHSAA regional playoffs
11/01 (week 11) L 41-7 A #85 Clinton-Massie (9-3) D4 R16, pick: L by 35 (1%), perf. rating 95

Weekly summary info
Week 16 (6-5, 105.8, #309, D4 #47)
Week 15 (6-5, 105.7, #312, D4 #48)
Week 14 (6-5, 105.8, #307, D4 #47)
Week 13 (6-5, 105.8, #310, D4 #48)
Week 12 (6-5, 106.0, #306, D4 #48)
Week 11 (6-5, 106.0, #304, D4 #48)
Week 10 (6-4, 102.7, #341, D4 #58)
Week 9 (5-4, 103.9, #325, D4 #54), appears locked in, no home game, proj. #16 at 6-4
Week 8 (4-4, 101.6, #355, D4 #59), 46% (bubble if 6-4), no home game, proj. #16 at 6-4
Week 7 (4-3, 107.1, #295, D4 #45), 68% (bubble if 6-4), 3% home, proj. #16 at 6-4
Week 6 (3-3, 105.7, #313, D4 #50), 60% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. #16 at 6-4
Week 5 (2-3, 109.6, #283, D4 #46), 79% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home, proj. #15 at 6-4
Week 4 (1-3, 108.7, #291, D4 #49), 60% (bubble if 5-5), 9% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #13 at 6-4
Week 3 (1-2, 106.7, #308, D4 #52), 54% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #16 at 5-5
Week 2 (1-1, 110.2, #281, D4 #44), 67% (likely needs 6-4), 21% home (likely needs 8-2), proj. #15 at 6-4
Week 1 (0-1, 98.3, #373, D4 #68), 51% (bubble if 5-5), 13% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 99.2, #368, D4 #69), 64% (bubble if 5-5), 22% home (maybe if 8-2), 5% twice (maybe if 10-0), proj. #13 at 6-4
Last season 98.1