Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

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#256 Ashland Arrows (5-6) 118.0

Updated 02-Dec-2023 10:31PM
Week 16 complete
Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

Rankings
#51 of 106 in Division III
#14 of 27 in Region 10
Team history page
Eitel team page

Schedule and results
Aug 18 (W1) W 26-20 H #263 River Valley (Caledonia) (4-7 D4 R14), pick: W by 21 (88%)
Aug 25 (W2) W 14-6 H #389 Marion Harding (3-7 D2 R7), pick: W by 36 (99%)
Sep 01 (W3) L 23-27 A #375 Buckeye Valley (5-6 D3 R11), pick: W by 17 (83%)
Sep 08 (W4) L 0-28 A #202 New Philadelphia (6-5 D3 R9), pick: L by 20 (13%)
Sep 15 (W5) W 31-14 A #467 Mount Vernon (2-8 D2 R7), pick: W by 9 (69%)
Sep 22 (W6) W 35-7 H #401 Madison (Mansfield) (1-9 D3 R10), pick: W by 24 (91%)
Sep 29 (W7) L 6-14 A #91 Mansfield Senior (10-3 D3 R10), pick: L by 30 (3%)
Oct 06 (W8) L 6-20 H #165 West Holmes (10-3 D4 R14), pick: L by 9 (31%)
Oct 13 (W9) W 34-0 H #359 Wooster (3-7 D2 R7), pick: W by 10 (71%)
Oct 20 (W10) L 14-24 A #265 Lexington (5-6 D3 R10), pick: W by 7 (66%)
Region 10 playoffs
Oct 27 (W11) L 21-49 A #62 Tiffin Columbian (11-3 D3 R10), pick: L by 29 (4%)

Strength of schedule
(based on all regular-season games)
#54 of 106 in Division 3

Weekly ranking & projection history
W16: 118.0 (5-6, #256, D3 #51)
W15: 117.9 (5-6, #257, D3 #51)
W14: 118.0 (5-6, #257, D3 #51)
W13: 118.0 (5-6, #257, D3 #50)
W12: 118.6 (5-6, #253, D3 #50)
W11: 117.5 (5-6, #264, D3 #50)
W10: 116.6 (5-5, #269, D3 #53) in but no home game, as #14 seed, proj. 5-5, #14
W9: 121.6 (5-4, #240, D3 #49) Likely in, proj. 6-4, #12
W8: 116.9 (4-4, #271, D3 #53) 97% (need 4-6), proj. 5-5, #13
W7: 120.9 (4-3, #245, D3 #49) 97% (bubble if 4-6), 2% home, proj. 6-4, #12
W6: 113.7 (4-2, #295, D3 #59) 69% (need 5-5), proj. 5-5, #14
W5: 112.9 (3-2, #297, D3 #61) 68% (need 5-5), proj. 5-5, #15
W4: 107.2 (2-2, #348, D3 #68) 42% (need 5-5), proj. 4-6, out
W3: 114.4 (2-1, #287, D3 #56) 61% (need 5-5), 7% home, proj. 5-5, #15
W2: 117.6 (2-0, #266, D3 #52) 74% (bubble if 5-5), 8% home, proj. 6-4, #13
W1: 122.1 (1-0, #231, D3 #42) 83% (bubble if 5-5), 17% home, 2% twice, proj. 6-4, #13
W0: 125.7 (0-0, #214, D3 #37) 87% (bubble if 4-6), 41% home, 12% twice, proj. 6-4, #10
Last year 123.5 (6-5)