Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

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Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#250 Hillsdale Falcons (12-1) 113.8

Updated Sat 16-Nov-2024 12:41 AM
Week 13 complete

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Rankings
#11 of 104 in Division 7
#1 of 28 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #24 in D7 (based on all regular season games)
Resume ranking #7 in D7 (+364 WP+)
Made Region 25 playoffs as #2 seed

Schedule and results
08/23 (week 1) W 44-12 H #486 Black River (4-7) D6 R21, pick: W by 12 (71%), perf. rating 130
08/30 (week 2) W 26-8 A #469 Lucas (5-6) D7 R25, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 116
09/06 (week 3) W 42-7 A #631 Loudonville (0-10) D7 R27, pick: W by 41 (99%), perf. rating 106
09/13 (week 4) W 63-0 A #552 Chippewa (2-8) D6 R21, pick: W by 44 (99%), perf. rating 134
09/20 (week 5) W 35-31 H #163 Dalton (10-3) D6 R21, pick: L by 18 (13%), perf. rating 132
09/27 (week 6) W 14-7 A #414 Smithville (8-4) D6 R21, pick: W by 27 (96%), perf. rating 106
10/04 (week 7) W 34-14 H #493 Waynedale (3-7) D5 R17, pick: W by 31 (98%), perf. rating 111
10/11 (week 8) W 36-6 H #599 Northwestern (W. Salem) (1-9) D5 R18, pick: W by 42 (99%), perf. rating 103
10/18 (week 9) W 42-7 A #548 Rittman (5-6) D6 R21, pick: W by 33 (99%), perf. rating 124
10/25 (week 10) L 45-21 H #164 Norwayne (10-2) D5 R18, pick: L by 10 (26%), perf. rating 91

OHSAA regional playoffs
11/01 (week 11) W 55-12 H #572 Fairport Harding (5-5) D7 R25, pick: W by 38 (99%), perf. rating 127
11/08 (week 12) W 43-14 H #507 Windham (10-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 30 (98%), perf. rating 121
11/15 (week 13) W 50-48 N #330 Malvern (11-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 12 (79%), perf. rating 107
11/22 (week 14) N #392 Cuyahoga Heights (8-4) D7 R25, pick: W by 17 (86%)

Weekly summary info
Week 13 (12-1, 113.8, #250, D7 #11)
Week 12 (11-1, 114.8, #241, D7 #8)
Week 11 (10-1, 115.0, #239, D7 #8)
Week 10 (9-1, 116.0, #233, D7 #8)
Week 9 (9-0, 119.0, #218, D7 #8), appears locked in and home, 95% twice, proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 8 (8-0, 116.5, #235, D7 #9), appears locked in and home, 78% twice (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 7 (7-0, 116.2, #237, D7 #9), appears locked in and home, 87% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 6 (6-0, 118.0, #224, D7 #8), appears locked in and home, 94% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 5 (5-0, 123.8, #192, D7 #6), appears locked in and home, 94% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 118.6, #232, D7 #9), appears locked in and likely home, 37% twice (likely needs 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 120.2, #219, D7 #8), appears locked in, 97% home, 45% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 122.7, #200, D7 #7), appears locked in, 97% home (maybe if 7-3), 57% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 118.9, #223, D7 #6), likely in, 82% home (maybe if 6-4), 47% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 108.7, #289, D7 #18), 94% (bubble if 3-7), 61% home (maybe if 6-4), 30% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Last season 107.6