Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

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Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#364 Lutheran West Longhorns (2-9) 99.8

Updated Sat 16-Nov-2024 12:41 AM
Week 13 complete

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Rankings
#70 of 109 in Division 3
#19 of 26 in Region 10
Strength of schedule #31 in D3 (based on all regular season games)
Resume ranking #78 in D3 (-421 WP+)
Made Region 10 playoffs as #16 seed

Schedule and results
08/23 (week 1) L 22-9 H #463 Garfield Heights (3-7) D2 R5, pick: W by 27 (89%), perf. rating 67
08/30 (week 2) L 48-0 A #48 Aurora (11-2) D3 R9, pick: L by 38 (3%), perf. rating 94
09/06 (week 3) L 28-0 A #120 Padua Franciscan (8-5) D3 R10, pick: L by 27 (7%), perf. rating 97
09/13 (week 4) L 35-0 A #134 Geneva (10-2) D3 R9, pick: L by 34 (2%), perf. rating 83
09/20 (week 5) W 7-6 H #219 Madison (7-4) D3 R9, pick: L by 22 (8%), perf. rating 118
09/27 (week 6) L 41-14 H #28 Perry (12-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 42 (1%), perf. rating 119
10/04 (week 7) L 27-21 A #210 Hawken (8-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 21 (9%), perf. rating 113
10/10 (week 8) W 23-20 A #357 West Geauga (2-8) D4 R13, pick: L by 3 (42%), perf. rating 107
10/18 (week 9) L 35-28 H #370 Orange (7-4) D4 R13, pick: W by 17 (87%), perf. rating 87
10/25 (week 10) L 34-21 H #336 Harvey (5-5) D3 R9, pick: W by 5 (63%), perf. rating 81

OHSAA regional playoffs
11/01 (week 11) L 49-14 A #20 Toledo Central Catholic (12-1) D3 R10, pick: L by 47 (1%), perf. rating 118

Weekly summary info
Week 13 (2-9, 99.8, #364, D3 #70)
Week 12 (2-9, 99.0, #371, D3 #71)
Week 11 (2-9, 99.7, #367, D3 #70)
Week 10 (2-8, 97.5, #387, D3 #73)
Week 9 (2-7, 102.2, #344, D3 #64), 98% (likely in at 2-8 or better), no home game, proj. #12 at 3-7
Week 8 (2-6, 106.8, #300, D3 #60), likely in, 24% home (maybe if 4-6), proj. #9 at 4-6
Week 7 (1-6, 105.3, #309, D3 #61), 94% (likely needs 2-8), 9% home (maybe if 4-6), proj. #9 at 3-7
Week 6 (1-5, 103.6, #329, D3 #62), 94% (likely needs 2-8), 10% home (maybe if 4-6), proj. #10 at 3-7
Week 5 (1-4, 100.7, #355, D3 #64), 86% (likely needs 2-8), 9% home (maybe if 4-6), proj. #9 at 3-7
Week 4 (0-4, 94.5, #410, D3 #75), 24% (bubble if 2-8), 2% home (maybe if 4-6), proj. out at 1-9
Week 3 (0-3, 97.0, #384, D3 #70), 33% (bubble if 2-8), 2% home, proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 101.7, #338, D3 #69), 39% (bubble if 3-7), 5% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 107.7, #302, D3 #58), 50% (bubble if 3-7), 6% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. #15 at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 124.6, #187, D3 #36), 89% (bubble if 3-7), 48% home (maybe if 6-4), 15% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 6-4
Last season 123.5