Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

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Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#378 Madeira Mustangs (6-6) 98.5

Updated Tue 10-Dec-2024 10:06 AM
Week 16 complete

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Rankings
#47 of 106 in Division 5
#10 of 24 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #34 in D5 (based on all regular season games)
Resume ranking #41 in D5 (-96 WP+)
Made Region 20 playoffs as #11 seed

Schedule and results
08/23 (week 1) W 26-21 A #192 Batavia (8-3) D3 R12, pick: W by 29 (91%), perf. rating 132
08/30 (week 2) W 41-19 H #501 Shawnee (Springfield) (1-9) D4 R16, pick: L by 23 (12%), perf. rating 112
09/06 (week 3) L 32-25 A #417 Purcell Marian (5-6) D6 R24, pick: W by 17 (83%), perf. rating 86
09/13 (week 4) L 35-7 H #172 Wyoming (11-1) D4 R16, pick: L by 22 (10%), perf. rating 83
09/20 (week 5) L 14-12 H #369 Reading (5-5) D4 R16, pick: W by 22 (92%), perf. rating 94
09/28 (week 6) L 41-14 A #154 Indian Hill (9-4) D4 R16, pick: L by 22 (8%), perf. rating 92
10/04 (week 7) W 35-9 A #514 Mariemont (2-8) D5 R20, pick: W by 17 (86%), perf. rating 119
10/11 (week 8) L 36-12 H #146 Taylor (10-3) D4 R16, pick: L by 1 (47%), perf. rating 94
10/18 (week 9) W 12-10 H #564 Finneytown (1-9) D5 R20, pick: W by 34 (99%), perf. rating 69
10/25 (week 10) W 20-14 A #495 Deer Park (4-7) D6 R24, pick: W by 9 (72%), perf. rating 93

OHSAA regional playoffs
11/01 (week 11) W 28-6 A #448 Williamsburg (9-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 4 (40%), perf. rating 125
11/08 (week 12) L 55-6 A #178 Waynesville (9-4) D5 R20, pick: L by 27 (4%), perf. rating 66

Weekly summary info
Week 16 (6-6, 98.5, #378, D5 #47)
Week 15 (6-6, 98.4, #378, D5 #47)
Week 14 (6-6, 98.5, #374, D5 #47)
Week 13 (6-6, 98.5, #376, D5 #47)
Week 12 (6-6, 99.4, #369, D5 #47)
Week 11 (6-5, 99.7, #366, D5 #47)
Week 10 (5-5, 92.0, #439, D5 #59)
Week 9 (4-5, 91.8, #436, D5 #60), likely in, home game unlikely, proj. #11 at 5-5
Week 8 (3-5, 98.3, #389, D5 #51), appears locked in, home game unlikely, proj. #11 at 5-5
Week 7 (3-4, 102.6, #339, D5 #43), appears locked in, 56% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. #9 at 5-5
Week 6 (2-4, 102.0, #345, D5 #44), likely in, 44% home (maybe if 5-5), 2% twice, proj. #11 at 5-5
Week 5 (2-3, 103.5, #332, D5 #41), likely in, 50% home (maybe if 5-5), 6% twice (likely needs 7-3), proj. #10 at 5-5
Week 4 (2-2, 108.0, #295, D5 #33), appears locked in, 85% home (maybe if 5-5), 34% twice (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 7-3
Week 3 (2-1, 108.3, #299, D5 #34), likely in, 86% home (maybe if 6-4), 41% twice (maybe if 7-3), proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 2 (2-0, 116.0, #241, D5 #26), appears locked in, 98% home (maybe if 5-5), 80% twice (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 94.1, #413, D5 #54), 90% (bubble if 2-8), 27% home (maybe if 5-5), 10% twice (maybe if 7-3), proj. #10 at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 102.9, #340, D5 #35), 92% (bubble if 2-8), 53% home (maybe if 5-5), 26% twice (maybe if 7-3), proj. #9 at 5-5
Last season 97.6